Analysis on import volume and price of xylene in 2

2022-07-31
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Analysis on the import volume and price of xylene in 2018. From the specific situation of the import volume in the year, the import volume in the month fluctuated little as a whole. The import volume in the month shrank suddenly and recovered effectively in the month

data source: in jinlianchuang

month, China's import volume first decreased and then increased. Due to good expectations for demand and price trend, the monthly xylene import volume was high. However, due to poor domestic actual demand in the first quarter and high inventory level, the xylene import volume gradually decreased until the traditional consumption peak season in the month gradually came. In addition, the domestic xylene inventory level decreased significantly, Urge merchants to import xylene to enhance Chinese coatings. However, due to the Sino US trade war and the serious upside down of internal and external markets, the monthly xylene import volume decreased rapidly, and the import volume rebounded in November. However, due to the insufficient domestic demand in winter and the sharp decline of the market, the import volume decreased again in December

data source: jinlianchuang

judging from the trend of monthly average import price, it is basically consistent with the trend of domestic price. There is only a slight gap in a few months. In March, the domestic average price fell, but the import average price rose. In June, the domestic average price fell, and the import average price rose. In other periods of the year, the two are basically opposite

however, the trend of xylene import volume and price is basically reversed. While the import volume decreased in the first quarter, the average import price has been rising. The monthly average import price is $736/ton and $757/ton respectively. This value is therefore called constant tensile stress. The straight-line rise of the import price to 7 can greatly reduce the problems of too small sample pieces such as transparent parts, which can not be fixed in the drop hammer tube, and the impact due to the protective net, which is $91/ton, At the same time, it also led to more serious internal and external disk hanging upside down, laying the groundwork for further decline in import volume

the average import price of xylene rose all the way. During this period, China's import volume was still large, and the volume and price went hand in hand. The main reason was that the overall domestic demand was good, and the price difference between internal and external markets was limited during this period, so the arbitrage window could be opened most of the time. However, under the background of the strong rise of PX and polyester chain in August, the average import price of xylene rose from US $862/T in August to around us $1034/T in October, and the import volume of xylene also fell sharply in the same period

although the import volume and price of xylene in 2018 went in the opposite direction, the price of xylene experienced a deep decline at the end of the year. The long-term price trend in the future still threatened environmental protection, but it was bound to fluctuate upward, and the domestic demand for xylene import would also increase. Therefore, the import volume and price in the future would not always go in the opposite direction. It is expected that the import volume and price in 2019 will be more in the opposite direction

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